tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2286 · Delta · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 ATL → 10:57 MCO
    DL 1658 · Delta · 1h 32m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 57mJFK 06:00 to MCO 10:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.