tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2286 · Delta · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:23 ATL → 11:31 ROC
    DL 2511 · Delta · 2h 09m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 32mJFK 06:00 to ROC 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.