tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2286 · Delta · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:56 RIC
    DL 2650 · Delta · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 56mJFK 06:00 to RIC 11:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.