tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2286 · Delta · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:21 ATL → 13:57 MSP
    DL 2901 · Delta · 2h 36m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 57mJFK 06:00 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.