tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2286 · Delta · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 ATL → 11:08 DCA
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 47m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 07mJFK 06:00 to DCA 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.