tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 17:40 JFK → 20:34 ATL
    DL 2293 · Delta · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 ATL → 23:56 IAH
    DL 1601 · Delta · 2h 12m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 16mJFK 17:40 to IAH 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.