tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:40 JFK → 20:34 ATL
    DL 2293 · Delta · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 MCO
    DL 1733 · Delta · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 16mJFK 17:40 to MCO 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.