tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Providence via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:40 JFK → 20:34 ATL
    DL 2293 · Delta · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 ATL → 22:46 PVD
    DL 2064 · Delta · 2h 31m · 71% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 18mJFK 17:40 to PVD 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.