tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:40 JFK → 20:34 ATL
    DL 2293 · Delta · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 ATL → 00:40 BWI +1 day
    DL 2590 · Delta · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 00mJFK 17:40 to BWI 00:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.