tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Los Angeles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:35 ORD → 21:12 LAX
    DL 2298 · Delta · 4h 37m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 LAX → 23:32 RNO
    DL 3929 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 57mORD 18:35 to RNO 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.