tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:10 SDF → 09:40 ATL
    DL 2299 · Delta · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 14:18 PHX
    DL 366 · Delta · 3h 48m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 08mSDF 08:10 to PHX 14:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.