tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:10 SDF → 09:40 ATL
    DL 2299 · Delta · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 15:49 LGA
    DL 460 · Delta · 2h 19m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 39mSDF 08:10 to LGA 15:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.