tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chattanooga via Atlanta: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:25 EWR → 17:54 ATL
    DL 2312 · Delta · 2h 29m · 70% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 ATL → 19:33 CHA
    DL 3150 · Delta · 53m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 08mEWR 15:25 to CHA 19:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.