tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 20:29 DTW
    DL 2316 · Delta · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 22:53 CVG
    DL 5478 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 12mBNA 17:41 to CVG 22:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.