tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Providence via Detroit: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 20:29 DTW
    DL 2316 · Delta · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 DTW → 23:20 PVD
    DL 3795 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 39mBNA 17:41 to PVD 23:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.