tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 16:29 EWR → 19:00 ATL
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 31m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:03 ATL → 21:45 RIC
    DL 1426 · Delta · 1h 42m · 74% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 16mEWR 16:29 to RIC 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.