tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Grand Rapids via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:29 EWR → 19:00 ATL
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 31m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 ATL → 21:51 GRR
    DL 2210 · Delta · 1h 57m · 80% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 22mEWR 16:29 to GRR 21:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.