tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:29 EWR → 19:00 ATL
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 31m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:49 ATL → 23:59 BUF
    DL 2334 · Delta · 2h 10m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 30mEWR 16:29 to BUF 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.