tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:29 EWR → 19:00 ATL
    DL 2322 · Delta · 2h 31m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 ATL → 21:10 LAS
    DL 955 · Delta · 4h 15m · 68% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 41mEWR 16:29 to LAS 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.