tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Las Vegas via Austin: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:10 JFK → 14:06 AUS
    DL 2323 · Delta · 3h 56m · 84% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:27 AUS → 16:20 LAS
    DL 2260 · Delta · 2h 53m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 10mJFK 11:10 to LAS 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.