tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:31 EWR → 12:54 ATL
    DL 2325 · Delta · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:16 ATL → 17:15 TYS
    DL 2571 · Delta · 59m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 44mEWR 10:31 to TYS 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.