tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:31 EWR → 12:54 ATL
    DL 2325 · Delta · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 ATL → 14:17 MSY
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 49mEWR 10:31 to MSY 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.