tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:15 TPA → 06:48 ATL
    DL 2330 · Delta · 1h 33m · 96% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 ATL → 10:29 SDF
    DL 1374 · Delta · 1h 22m · 90% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 17mTPA 05:15 to SDF 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.