tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:15 TPA → 06:48 ATL
    DL 2330 · Delta · 1h 33m · 96% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 177 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 38mTPA 05:15 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.