tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:45 JAX → 14:03 DTW
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 19m · 90% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 04m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 DTW → 18:25 MDW
    DL 4677 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 22m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 199 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 04m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 44mJAX 11:45 to MDW 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.