tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:45 JAX → 14:03 DTW
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 19m · 90% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:56 DTW → 19:08 PHX
    AA 1790 · American · 4h 11m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 22mJAX 11:45 to PHX 19:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.