tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:45 JAX → 14:03 DTW
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 19m · 90% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 DTW → 18:00 PHX
    DL 1135 · Delta · 4h 06m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 11mJAX 11:45 to PHX 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.