tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via New York: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:35 ORD → 21:00 LGA
    DL 2336 · Delta · 2h 25m · 51% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:48 LGA → 23:23 ROC
    DL 5417 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 11.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (11.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 43mORD 17:35 to ROC 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.