tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Wilmington via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:15 MIA → 11:18 LGA
    DL 2339 · Delta · 3h 03m · 76% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:29 LGA → 16:42 ILM
    DL 5212 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 09m · 73% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 23mMIA 08:15 to ILM 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.