tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:39 BWI → 11:07 DTW
    DL 2341 · Delta · 1h 28m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 DTW → 13:36 LAS
    DL 421 · Delta · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 56mBWI 09:39 to LAS 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.