tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 09:39 BWI → 11:07 DTW
    DL 2341 · Delta · 1h 28m · 88% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:16 SFO
    DL 469 · Delta · 5h 01m · 70% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 37mBWI 09:39 to SFO 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.