tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:10 JFK → 15:45 ATL
    DL 2342 · Delta · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 ATL → 17:55 DAL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 17m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 45mJFK 13:10 to DAL 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.