tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via Detroit: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:59 JFK → 15:04 DTW
    DL 2343 · Delta · 2h 05m · 86% on time, 10.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 DTW → 21:16 ANC
    DL 1134 · Delta · 6h 41m · 63% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 12h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (10.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip12h 17mJFK 12:59 to ANC 21:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.