tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Kansas City via Detroit: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:59 JFK → 15:04 DTW
    DL 2343 · Delta · 2h 05m · 86% on time, 10.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 DTW → 16:57 MCI
    DL 2761 · Delta · 2h 02m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (10.9% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 58mJFK 12:59 to MCI 16:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.