tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:29 MIA → 14:34 LGA
    DL 2346 · Delta · 3h 08m · 70% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:39 LGA → 18:54 TPA
    DL 2404 · Delta · 3h 15m · 74% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 25mMIA 11:29 to TPA 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.