tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:55 LGA → 17:13 MSP
    DL 2349 · Delta · 3h 18m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 20:35 SJC
    DL 2087 · Delta · 4h 07m · 68% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 42mLGA 14:55 to SJC 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.