tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2353 · Delta · 2h 24m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 ATL → 10:22 MSN
    DL 2681 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 24mEWR 06:00 to MSN 10:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.