tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:24 ATL
    DL 2353 · Delta · 2h 24m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 ATL → 10:53 LAX
    DL 827 · Delta · 4h 38m · 85% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 53mEWR 06:00 to LAX 10:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.