tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:35 BWI → 13:16 MSP
    DL 2357 · Delta · 2h 41m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 MSP → 17:59 MEM
    DL 4063 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 24mBWI 11:35 to MEM 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.