tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Orlando via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:22 ORD → 19:51 DTW
    DL 2358 · Delta · 1h 29m · 71% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:58 DTW → 23:34 MCO
    DL 1123 · Delta · 2h 37m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 13mORD 17:22 to MCO 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.