tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:22 ORD → 19:51 DTW
    DL 2358 · Delta · 1h 29m · 71% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 DTW → 21:40 ATW
    DL 4159 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 18mORD 17:22 to ATW 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.