tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:30 EWR → 10:52 ATL
    DL 2365 · Delta · 2h 22m · 84% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:43 ATL → 15:50 MSN
    DL 2599 · Delta · 2h 07m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 20mEWR 08:30 to MSN 15:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.