tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:30 EWR → 10:52 ATL
    DL 2365 · Delta · 2h 22m · 84% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:31 ATL → 16:09 MSP
    DL 2825 · Delta · 2h 38m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 39mEWR 08:30 to MSP 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.