tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 PDX → 11:12 MSP
    DL 2369 · Delta · 3h 12m · 97% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:53 MSP → 17:00 JFK
    DL 2661 · Delta · 3h 07m · 84% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 00mPDX 06:00 to JFK 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.