tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:30 MEM → 09:23 DTW
    DL 2370 · Delta · 1h 53m · 89% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:59 EWR
    DL 2577 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 29mMEM 06:30 to EWR 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.