tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:30 MEM → 09:23 DTW
    DL 2370 · Delta · 1h 53m · 89% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 25mMEM 06:30 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.