tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:20 PHX → 12:35 SEA
    DL 2374 · Delta · 3h 15m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 SEA → 16:15 ANC
    DL 928 · Delta · 3h 45m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 55mPHX 09:20 to ANC 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.