tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:20 PHX → 12:35 SEA
    DL 2374 · Delta · 3h 15m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 SEA → 16:50 SFO
    DL 3707 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 30mPHX 09:20 to SFO 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.