tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 24%

  1. 19:37 ORD → 22:15 SLC
    DL 2376 · Delta · 3h 38m · 48% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:04 SLC → 23:44 SMF
    DL 1582 · Delta · 1h 44m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 11mORD 19:37 to SMF 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.