tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:12 HOU → 20:28 ATL
    DL 2381 · Delta · 2h 16m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 MCO
    DL 1733 · Delta · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 44mHOU 17:12 to MCO 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.